000
FZPN03 KNHC 040246
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.2N 111.6W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 
75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 20.8N 115.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 22.5N 117.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 27N BETWEEN 111W 
AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL SIMON NEAR 23.9N 116.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 25.0N 116.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIMON NEAR 26.0N 115.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.S OF 03S BETWEEN 82W AND 86W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0200 UTC SAT OCT 04...

.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 17N 
TO 21N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 
16N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W TO 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 09N89W THEN RESUMES NEAR 13N116W 
TO 12N130W TO 11N136W. ITCZ FROM 11N136W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W...FROM 05N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 102W AND 107W...AND FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 
116W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 123W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.