000
FZPN03 KNHC 031507
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC FRI OCT 03 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 18.6N 109.8W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
03 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 
22N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.6N 113.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 21.5N 116.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 27N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 23.0N 116.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 24.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 25.5N 115.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC FRI OCT 03...

.TROPICAL STORM SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
SW AND 30 NM NE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 11N95W THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N116W 
TO 10N134W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
75 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 122W AND 127W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.