000
FZPN03 KNHC 022127
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC THU OCT 02 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 18.3N 108.0W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
02 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS 
TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 17N TO 20N E 
OF 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.0N 111.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 106W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.7N 112.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 60 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 20.7N 114.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 60 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W WINDS  
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 22.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.                        
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 24.0N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 25.0N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 118W AND FROM 12N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 82W AND 88W AND S OF 02S W OF 103W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 82W AND 85W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU OCT 02...

.TROPICAL STORM SIMON...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 
18N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W...AND FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 
112W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N87W TO 12N89W THEN    
RESUMES NEAR 14N113W TO 11N120W TO 10N130W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 12N BETWEEN 78W AND 
88W...AND FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 133W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 98W.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.