000
FZPN03 KNHC 290917
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC MON SEP 29 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 22.8N 117.5W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 29 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 14N TO 28N BETWEEN 113W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 23.1N 117.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 23.3N 117.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N 
TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 23.2N 
117.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 22.8N 
118.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 22.5N 
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 04N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 05N135W TO 04N124W TO 03.4S103W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC MON SEP 29...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 12N ALONG 100W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG N OF 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 14N94W TO 12N100W TO 12N110W... 
RESUMES FROM 17N115W TO 13N130W. ITCZ FROM 13N130W TO 13N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S AND 30 NM N 
OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 113W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.