000
FZPN03 KNHC 272141
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SAT SEP 27 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.3N 116.5W 989 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 27 
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM 
NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 25N BETWEEN 112W AND 125W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.0N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N 
TO 27N BETWEEN 114W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.2N 117.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 21.7N 
117.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 20.8N 
118.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 19.8N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.NW OF LINE FROM 28N115W TO 18N125W TO 18N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 27N BETWEEN 127W AND 137W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.S OF 01N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC SAT SEP 27...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 12N93W TO 11N100W TO 
12N105W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM 11N120W 
TO 09N125W TO 12N130W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 270 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 95W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 270 
NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. 


$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.