000
FZPN03 KNHC 271547
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SAT SEP 27 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 19.6N 116.1W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
27 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE...210 NM SE...180 NM 
SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 14N TO 25N BETWEEN 111W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.3N 116.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE...80 NM SE...50 NM SW...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS.  
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 12N TO 27N BETWEEN 111W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.2N 116.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 17N TO 27N BETWEEN 112W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.9N 117.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 27N BETWEEN 113W AND 
126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.7N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 21.0N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 20.0N 
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.NW OF LINE FROM 29N116.5W TO 27N118W TO 16N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT MIXED NE AND NW SWELL 
SW PART.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N TO LINE FROM 30N121W TO 19N129W AND W 
OF 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 21.5N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. 

.FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW 
AND NE SWELL. FROM 00N TO 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. FROM 03.5N TO 
07N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N W OF 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1515 UTC SAT SEP 27...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT.

.WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH FROM 16N119W TO 13.5N122.5W 
TO 15N126W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N74W TO 09N81W TO 13N94W TO 
12N105W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED...THEN RESUME FROM 14N115W 
TO 09N126W TO 10N131W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ CONTINUING 
ON 11.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED 
WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 105W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 
NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 115W AND 129W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.