000
FZPN03 KNHC 270943
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SAT SEP 27 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 19.1N 115.8W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
27 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE...70 NM 
SE...30 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 100 NM NE...60 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.7N 116.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 17N TO 27N BETWEEN 112W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.9N 116.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 
FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 360 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.1N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 21.5N 
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 21.0N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.NW OF LINE FROM 29N115W TO 16N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SE OF LINE FROM 30N121W TO 19N129W AND W OF 
113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT SEP 27...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 13N92W TO 12N97W TO 13N103W. ITCZ 
FROM 10N120W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 
180 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEN 87W AND 101W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.