000
FZPN03 KNHC 261539
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC FRI SEP 26 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 28.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 18.2N 114.4W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
26 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 20.0N 116.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 60 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...180 
NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 26N BETWEEN 111W 
AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 21.8N 117.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 11N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.8N 117.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RACHEL NEAR 23.0N 117.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RACHEL NEAR 22.8N 
117.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 28.5N122.5W TO 21.5N140W. WITHIN 90 
NM NW OF FRONT W OF 133W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N116.5W TO 26N117W TO 17.5N122W TO  
16N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. NW OF LINE FROM 30N116.5W TO 
28N116.5W TO 16N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 126W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S85W TO 01S92W TO 07N94W TO 05N106W TO 
11.5N107W TO 06N120W TO 00N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S98W TO 06N112W TO 15N110W 
TO 16N127W TO 05N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S106W TO 10N120W TO 07N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC FRI SEP 26...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO  
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N76W TO 08.5N82W TO 12.5N89W TO 
LOW PRES NEAR 11N97W 1009 MB TO 12N102W WHERE IT HAS FRACTURED. 
TROUGH RESUMES S OF T.S. RACHEL FROM 12N116W TO 09.5N124W... 
WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ CONTINUING ON TO 07N129W TO 09N133W 
TO BEYOND 07.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
NOTED WITHIN 210 NM S OF TROUGH E OF 88W...AND N OF 10N TO 
MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 94W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION ALSO NOTED WITHIN 90 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 88W AND 
94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 
120 NM S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.  

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.