000
FZPN03 KNHC 192045
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
2230 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 19.4N 108.2W 988 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM 
SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 104W AND 112W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 20.7N 109.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 
150 NM SE AND 70 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...INCLUDING THE S PORTION 
GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 113W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 22.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 13 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 109W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO NEAR 22.5N 115.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.5N 
116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.0N 
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2015 UTC FRI SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG 
FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
16N TO 22N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N84W TO 10N96W TO 12N112W TO 
14N122W TO 12N130W. ITCZ 12N130W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 80W TO COLOMBIA...FROM 
05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 95W...FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 
97W...FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W.  

$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.