000
FZPN03 KNHC 191530
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
1630 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO CENTERED NEAR 19.3N 107.7W 982 MB AT 1500  
UTC SEP 19 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM 
NW AND SE QUADRANTS...WITHIN 80 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM SW AND WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO SEAS TO 21 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM E AND WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 20.7N 108.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND WITHIN 210 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 21.7N 112.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND WITHIN 120  NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW AND WITHIN 150 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W... INCLUDING THE S 
GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO NEAR 22.5N 114.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.5N 
116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.5N 
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC FRI SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 15N TO 
20N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH 06N77W TO 10N90W THEN RESUMES FROM 15N120W TO 
12N131W. ITCZ FROM 12N131W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 16N BETWEEN 88W AND 99W AND IN THE 
GULF OF PANAMA.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.