000
FZPN03 KNHC 190903
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
1030 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO CENTERED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W 982 MB AT 0900  
UTC SEP 19 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...WITHIN 90 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM SW AND WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO SEAS TO 21 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM E AND WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 20.4N 108.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE AND WITHIN 70 NM SE 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND WITHIN 150 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 113W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 21.7N 111.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE AND WITHIN 70 NM SE 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND WITHIN 120  
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W... 
INCLUDING THE S GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 22.5N 114.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO NEAR 22.5N 116.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.0N 
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC FRI SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150  
NM OVER THE SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER...AND WELL N OF CENTER 
WITHIN 75 NM OF 22.5N107W.  
 
.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF 
CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO FROM 87W TO 94W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH 09N84W TO 09N92W TO 11N98W TO 11N120W. ITCZ FROM
11N120W TO 13N132W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 07.5N82W TO 09N100W...AND WITHIN 90 NM
OF 08.5N138W.  

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.