000
FZPN03 KNHC 190243
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
0430 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 18.4N 106.6W 981 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 180 NM W QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 
110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 19.8N 108.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 150 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 104W AND 112W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 21.3N 110.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E AND 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 
150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 106W AND 
114W...INCLUDING THE S PORTION GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 22.2N 113.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO NEAR 22.5N 115.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.5N 
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC FRI SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG 
FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 09N87W TO 08N92W TO 11N98W 
TO 11N111W TO 10N120W. ITCZ FROM 10N120W TO 13N130W TO 12N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 
82W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 136W AND 
139W. 

$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.