000
FZPN03 KNHC 182053
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                       
2230 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 17.8N 105.9W 981 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 18 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NW AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 19.2N 107.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 103W AND 111W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 20.8N 110.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 
23.5N BETWEEN 105W AND 113W...INCLUDING THE S PORTION GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 21.5N 112.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO NEAR 22.0N 115.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL POLO NEAR 22.0N 
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN NW SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2030 UTC THU SEP 18...

.HURRICANE POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM 15N 
TO 18N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 09N86W TO 07N91W TO 11N98W 
TO 11N120W. ITCZ FROM 11N120W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 84W TO 89W.

$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.