000
FZPN03 KNHC 170944
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL            
1030 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 14.8N 101.8W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
17 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...120 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO TO 21 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...180 NM SE...360 NM SW...AND 90 NM 
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 03N TO 19N BETWEEN 91W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 16.9N 104.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 08N TO 20N BETWEEN 94W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 18.5N 106.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA  
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 99W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 19.9N 108.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 21.1N 111.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 22.0N 113.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ODILE NEAR 30.1N 113.5W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
17 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA AND PACIFIC WATERS N OF 27.5N AND E OF 116W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE INLAND NEAR 32.2N 
111.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA N OF 29N WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ODILE NEAR 33.5N 110.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. GULF OF CALIFORNIA SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N132.5W TO 27N140W. N OF 29N WITHIN 
240 NM E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. NW 
OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N128.51W TO 24N140W. W 
OF LINE FROM 30N126W TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 27N125W TO 24N140W. W OF 
FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOURS FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.

.FROM 01S TO 05.5N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED SEP 17...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 360 NM SW 
QUADRANTS.
 
.TROPICAL STORM ODILE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08.5N76W TO 07.5N81W TO 10N90W WHERE 
IT HAS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N104.5W TO 11N124W... 
WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO LOW PRES NEAR 
12.5N140W 1011 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
NOTED WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S OF TROUGH E OF 90W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 106W AND 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.