000
FZPN03 KNHC 100914
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC WED SEP 10 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 12.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.4N 102.5W 1006 MB AT 0900 
UTC SEP 10 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W 
TO 105W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.7N 102.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.4N 102.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW...180 NM SW...150 NM NE...AND 220 
NM SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.9N 103.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 20.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 23.0N 109.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N116W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUND BY 
11N117W TO 14N112W TO 10N111W TO 07N117W TO 11N117W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N115W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N114W 1008 MB. FROM 11N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 109W AND 117W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N125W 1010 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N126W 1010 MB. WITHIN 210 NM 
SE QUADRANT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N123W 1009 MB. WITHIN 210 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED SEP 10...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N116W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE.
 
.LOW PRES NEAR 10N125W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM SW AND 30 NM NE SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 14N98W. IT CONTINUES 
FROM 13N108W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N116W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N125W 
TO 08N135W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF TROUGH E OF 89W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 91W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
60 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
120 NM S OF ITCZ W OF 135W.  
 
$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.