000
FZPN03 KNHC 270243
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.6N 121.4W 971 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 27 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...500 NM SE 
QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 480 NM SE 
AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED IN KARINA SECTION BELOW REMAINDER OF AREA 
BOUND BY 30N130W TO 30N115W TO 23N109W TO 25N108W TO 18N104W TO 
00N113W TO 00N121W TO 16N130W TO 30N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 23.6N 125.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
470 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 270 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
BOUNDED BY 30N130W TO 30N115W TO 17N102W TO 07N115W TO 08N130W 
TO 30N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 26.5N 130.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA OF 20N W OF 123W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 29.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 30.0N 
133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 29.5N 
134.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA NEAR 15.9N 126.5W 1005 MB AT 0300 
UTC AUG 27 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH MARIE...WITHIN 120 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 16.3N 
124.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. CONDITIONS TO 
MERGE WITH MARIE SECTION ABOVE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...LOW TO DISSIPATE.

.LOW PRES...REMNANT OF LOWELL...NEAR 28N136W 1007 MB. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 131W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. FROM 06N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 127W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES JUST NW OF AREA NEAR 30N141W 1008 MB. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N W OF 137W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA. CONDITIONS MERGED WITH MARIE 
SECTION ABOVE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N WITHIN 120 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0130 UTC WED AUG 27...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30-35 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N 
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE 
FROM 09N TO 18N BETWEEN 111W AND 122W.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N71W TO 08N77W TO 10N85W TO 
10.5N98W TO 11N107W...WHERE IT REMAINS FRACTURED E OF MARIE. 
TROUGH RESUMES SW OF MARIE FROM LOW PRES NEAR 15N137.5W TO 
BEYOND 13.5N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
04N TO 09N E OF 91W...AND WITHIN 100 NM OF THE COASTLINE FROM 
85W TO 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S 
OF TROUGH W OF 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.