000
FZPN03 KNHC 261521
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 28.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.7N 119.0W 965 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 26 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...160 NM SW QUADRANT AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 440 NM NE QUADRANT...450 NM SE 
QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 410 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 480 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED 
IN KARINA SECTION BELOW REMAINDER OF AREA BOUND BY 30N130W TO 
30N115W TO 23N109W TO 25N108W TO 18N104W TO 00N113W TO 00N121W 
TO 16N130W TO 30N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELLS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.6N 123.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 170 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 470 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 33 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM N AND 270 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUND BY 30N130W TO 
30N115W TO 17N102W TO 07N115W TO 08N130W TO 30N130W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELLS. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 25.1N 128.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 270 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUND BY 30N140W TO 30N117W TO 
13N117W TO 12N127W TO 18N140W TO 30N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 28.1N 131.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 30.5N 
133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 30.5N 
133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 16.6N 127.3W 1005 MB AT 1500 
UTC AUG 26 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST KARINA REMNANT LOW. CONDITIONS MERGED WITH 
MARIE SECTION ABOVE.

.LOW PRES...REMNANT OF LOWELL...NEAR 27N133W 1004 MB. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 250 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 130W AND FROM 20N TO 
23N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 130W AND 133W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELLS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N138W 1008 MB. N OF 28N W OF 
135W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W OF 
130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA. CONDITIONS MERGED WITH MARIE 
SECTION ABOVE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC TUE AUG 26...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N 
AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 123W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 128W AND 131W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 08N97W TO 11N106W. THERE IS NO 
ITCZ. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02N TO 07N E 
OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 102W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.