000
FZPN03 KNHC 252103
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 27.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.4N 115.8W 939 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 25 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...420 NM SE QUADRANT... 
330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 600 NM S QUADRANTS...AND 300 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
N OF 10N BETWEEN 102W AND 125W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.6N 119.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
540 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 360 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 420 NM SE AND 300 NM 
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 20N E OF 130W AND FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 102W AND 
125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.7N 124.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 160 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER... 
EXCEPT 300 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 20N E OF 130W AND FROM 09N TO 20N 
W OF 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 25.5N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.               
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 29.0N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 31.0N 
132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 17.2N 127.6W 1004 MB AT 2100 
UTC AUG 25 MOVING E OR 100 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 16.3N 
126.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 45 NM 
NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.LOW PRES...REMNANT OF LOWELL...NEAR 26N130W 1004 MB. WITHIN 300 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 22N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANT OF LOWELL...NEAR 26N135W 
1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 26N139W 1008 MB. OVER FORECAST  
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2015 UTC MON AUG 25...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES...WITHIN 180 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 15N114W TO 12N116W 
TO 10N123W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 117W AND 123W.

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA....NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM W QUADRANT

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 10N103W. NO ITCZ AXIS 
E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180-240 NM 
SE OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 93W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W 
AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 128W AND 
134W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.