000
FZPN03 KNHC 250924
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 27.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.3N 113.9W 932 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 25 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...390 NM SE QUADRANT 300 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 48 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E AND 510 NM S QUADRANTS...AND 300 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 10N TO 26N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX 
OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.6N 117.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...220 NM NE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 510 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 540 NM S 
QUADRANTS...AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 125W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 26N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W 
AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND 
NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.0N 121.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...150 NM NW. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 360 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER... EXCEPT 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 18N E OF 130W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...AND FROM 05N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 
125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 24.7N 126.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.                
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 27.8N 
130.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 30.2N 
132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.2N 128.4W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
25 MOVING ESE OR 110 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT 
90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N 
TO 20N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 17.1N 127.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER...ELSEWHERE AND REMAINDER OF AREA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 16.7N 
127.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 15.6N 
124.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. WITHIN 150 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
07N TO 18N W OF 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW NEAR 26N130W 1004 MB...REMNANT OF LOWELL. WITHIN 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
20N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 26N133W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N 
W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 28N137W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 150 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC MON AUG 25...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
200 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 360 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA....NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
THE  MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 07N95W TO 08N103W TO 
10N103W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS PRESENT. SCATTERED MODERATE STRONG 
CONVECTION IS FROM 04N TO 08N E OF 88W.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.