000
FZPN03 KNHC 242059
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 26.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.0N 112.2W 918 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 24 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT 
GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 510 NM NE QUADRANT...390 NM SE QUADRANT... 
270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 48 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 510 NM SE AND 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 100W AND 119W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N 
BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.9N 115.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 53 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 510 NM SE AND 360 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 125W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA S OF 26N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.7N 119.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...170 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 190 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
540 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 360 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 600 NM S QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 06N 
BETWEEN 102W AND 125W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 
25N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. S OF 06N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 23.0N 124.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.                         
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 26.0N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 29.5N 131.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.8N 130.4W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
24 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT  
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 150 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 17.5N 127.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
60 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 16.5N 
126.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
06N TO 20N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LOWELL NEAR 25N129W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 20N W OF 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25N131W 
1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 26N135W 
1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN AUG 24...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 300 NM S OF A 
LINE FROM 12N112W TO 10N120W TO 12N126W...AND FROM 05N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 132W.

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...          
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 07N96W TO 11N103W.  
NO ITCZ AXIS E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM SE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 102W...AND FROM 10N TO 
12N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.