000
FZPN03 KNHC 240938
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 26.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.1N 109.9W 944 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 24 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 220 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W 
WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM SE AND 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.3N 113.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 220 NM NE QUADRANTS...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E AND 270 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 47 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 540 
NM S QUADRANTS...AND 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.8N 116.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 1220 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 220 NM NE QUADRANTS...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM E AND 420 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM E AND 
600 NM S QUADRANTS...AND 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.4N 120.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.                             
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 25.0N 126.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 28.0N 
130.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.9N 132.2W 992 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 24 
MOVING ENE OR 075 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.0N 129.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
60 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 17.9N 128.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 45 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 17.5N 
127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LOWELL NEAR 24.9N 127.9W 1002 MB AT 0900 
UTC AUG 24 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N 
W OF 125W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25N 
130W. WITHIN 220 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25N133W. 
WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...ELSEWHERE N OF 05N W OF 121W AND FROM 
10N TO 21N BETWEEN 99W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W 
AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND 
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 11N W OF 100W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S 
OF 50N BETWEEN 105W AND 120 WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 11N W OF 130W AND 
N OF 06N BETWEEN 102W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 06N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN AUG 24...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 105 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 260 NM SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 375 NM IN 
THE SW QUADRANT. 

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM IN THE NE AND 90 NM IN THE SW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N90W TO 13N101W  
THEN RESUMES FROM 11N112W TO 10N120W TO 13N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS IS 
PRESENT E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 
WITHIN 200 NM S OF AXIS FROM 113W TO 137W

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.