000
FZPN03 KNHC 240251
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 26.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.7N 108.7W 971 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 24 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...330 
NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM SE AND 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.8N 112.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E AND 270 NM 
W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 
540 NM S QUADRANTS...AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.8N 115.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...170 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM E AND 420 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM E AND 
600 NM S QUADRANTS...AND 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.4N 119.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.                             
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 24.0N 124.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 26.7N 
129.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.8N 132.8W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 24 
MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.2N 129.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
60 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.5N 128.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 45 NM NE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 18.3N 
127.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 18.0N 
127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LOWELL NEAR 24.7N 127.4W 1002 MB AT 0300 
UTC AUG 24 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.4N 
129.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM 
SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 26.0N 
132.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 300 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27.0N 
137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.        
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28.5N 
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 30.0N 
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 09N W OF 121W AND FROM 10N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 99W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 126W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 11N W OF 125W AND 
FROM 10N TO 26N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA S OF 26N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 11N W OF 130W AND 
N OF 06N BETWEEN 102W AND 130W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 06N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC SUN AUG 24...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN  
105 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 19N104W TO 12N110W TO 08N120W... 
AND WITHIN 480 NM W QUADRANT.

.HURRICANE KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN  
60 NM NE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.POST-TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 09N90W TO 11N98W  
THEN RESUMES FROM 12N110W TO 08N117W TO 10N124W. NO ITCZ AXIS E 
OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 07N 
BETWEEN 84W AND 87W...FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.