000
FZPN03 KNHC 232053
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 25.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.1N 107.6W 979 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 23 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 95 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM 
SE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.1N 111.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E AND 240 NM 
W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 
300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.8N 114.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 510 NM SE AND 360 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 510 NM SE 
AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.6N 118.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.                          
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 23.0N 123.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 25.5N 128.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.3N 133.5W 988 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 23 
MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.0N 130.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.6N 128.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 19.0N 127.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.                  
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 19.0N 
127.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 24.0N 127.0W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
23 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 24.9N 
129.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.7N 
132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 300 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 26.6N 
136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.       
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28.0N 
140.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 29.5N 
144.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 09N W OF 120W AND FROM 10N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 10N W OF 124W AND 
W OF 100W TO A LINE FROM 26N113W TO 00N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 11N W OF 129W AND 
E OF 129W TO A LINE FROM 17N100W TO 03.4S105W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2015 UTC SAT AUG 23...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER...AND WITHIN 240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 13N108W TO 
08N118W.

.HURRICANE KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM E 
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NOTED.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N80W TO 11N98W THEN    
RESUMES FROM 11N110W TO 08N117W TO 10N123W. NO ITCZ AXIS E OF 
140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM 13N94W 
TO 06N97W...FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W...AND FROM 11N 
TO 13N W OF 137W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.