000
FZPN03 KNHC 220938
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 24.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 12.8N 101.0W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
22 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM SE SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW 
AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 00N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 118W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.4N 108.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 330 NM E AND SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 
24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 01N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 103W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.0N 115.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.5N 119.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 14.8N 135.8W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
22 MOVING E OR 085 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N 
TO 19N W OF 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.2N 134.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.6N 132.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...40 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 
60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E AND 120 
NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 21N W OF 124W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.5N 129.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.                
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 20.5N 129.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.5N 
131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 21.5N 123.4W 987 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
22 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 140 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
270 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 360 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM E...AND 360 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 28N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 23.5N 125.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 100 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 210 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 360 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 11N BETWEEN 116W AND 131W WIND 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. N OF 25N W 
OF 131W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 20N TO 25N W 
OF 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL LOWELL NEAR 25.4N 128.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N W OF 122W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 26.7N 
130.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.        
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28.5N 
134.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 30.3N 
138.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.S OF 02S W OF 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S W OF 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC FRI AUG 22...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE...AND FROM 10N TO 12N W OF 135W.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN 119W AND 
127W.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 
103W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN  
100W AND 107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO 07N89W THEN    
RESUMES FROM 08N109W TO 12N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 76W AND 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W...AND FROM 06N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 103W AND 114W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.