000
FZPN03 KNHC 200238
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC WED AUG 20 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 22.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.9N 135.3W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
20 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 240 NM N AND 
360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 136.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N 
AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.6N 135.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N 
TO 20N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.7N 134.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.               
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 19.5N 130.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 24.0N 
128.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 18.7N 120.7W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
20 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE 
QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 
360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 111W AND 127W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 19.6N 121.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 390 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N AND 420 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 26N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 21.5N 122.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 300 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 28N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 24.0N 125.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.               
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL NEAR 26.0N 128.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 28.0N 
131.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
09N95W 1008 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
10N98W 1006 MB. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 99W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S W OF 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 00N120W TO 03.4S100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC WED AUG 20...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM N...AND 120 NM S AND W QUADRANTS.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 150 AND 240 NM E...AND ELSEWHERE 
BETWEEN 240 AND 420 NM SE QUADRANTS.

.LOW PRES NEAR 08N93W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM W 
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 06N77W TO LOW PRES NEAR   
08N93W TO 12N112W. NO ITCZ AXIS E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 90W... 
FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W...FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 
105W AND 110W...FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W...AND FROM 
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 
10N W OF 136W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.