000 FZPN03 KNHC 192104 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 21. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.7N 134.8W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 19 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.7N 136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 11N TO 14N W OF 133W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.8N 136.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 135.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 18.5N 132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 23.5N 129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 18.4N 120.3W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 19 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 19.3N 121.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 25N BETWEEN 111W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 21.0N 122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 270 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 27N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 23.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 25.5N 128.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27.5N 131.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N94W 1010 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N97W 1008 MB. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S W OF 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE...SW AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE AUG 19... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. .TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W QUADRANT. .TROPICAL WAVE FROM 14N91W TO 08N91W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF 13N WITHIN 300 NM W OF WAVE AXIS. .SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG GULF OF PANAMA N OF 07N. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 08N91W TO 11N113W. NO ITCZ AXIS E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 87W...WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 103W...AND FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 111W AND 117W AND FROM 07N TO 11N W OF 135W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.