000
FZPN03 KNHC 191500
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 21.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.7N 134.4W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N W OF 
130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.8N 135.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 280 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 280 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.7N 132.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.0N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 17.7N 119.7W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 18.8N 121.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM 
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 300 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM S AND 
280 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 20.1N 121.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
280 NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 390 NM SE AND 280 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 22.5N 124.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 25.0N 127.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 26.5N 
130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 89W AND 93W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N95W 1008 MB. FROM 11N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 89W AND 96W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1415 UTC TUE AUG 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER ALL QUADRANTS.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 
FROM 17N118W TO 16N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N 
TO 19N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 08N TO OVER MEXICO...SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N84W TO 11N90W TO 
10N92W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 12N TO COAST OF MEXICO 
BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 06N84W TO 07N95W TO 08N103W TO 
12N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE STRONG WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM S 
OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM COAST OF COLOMBIA 
NEAR 03N78W TO 06N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 107W AND 116W. 
 
$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.