000
FZPN03 KNHC 190302
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 21.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.9N 133.6W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 15.9N 135.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.6N 135.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 134.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 17.0N 118.6W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 18.0N 120.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM 
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE  
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
AND 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 19.3N 120.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
450 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 21.0N 121.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 23.4N 124.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.5N 
127.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 91W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC TUE AUG 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM SW QUADRANT

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N83W TO 10N100W TO 15N110W THEN 
RESUMES FROM 14N135W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 210 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 
110W.
  
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.