000
FZPN03 KNHC 182133
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC MON AUG 18 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 20.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.1N 133.0W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
18 MOVING WSW OR 245 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 390 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.1N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.2N 136.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 1800 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 14N W OF 120W 
W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.3N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.3N 136.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.8N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 16.6N 117.9W 1005 MB AT 2100 
UTC AUG 18 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 150 NM SE 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 330 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 17.6N 119.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N125W TO 22N115W TO 17N110W TO 11N125W 
TO 21N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 18.9N 120.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM AND 330 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 
18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N125W TO 24N115W TO 
11N115W TO 11N125W TO 21N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 20.6N 121.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 23.0N 123.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWELVE-E NEAR 25.3N 
125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 91W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC MON AUG 18...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N83W TO 10N100W TO 15N110W THEN 
RESUMES FROM 14N135W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS E OF 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 210 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 
110W.
  
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.