000 FZPN03 KNHC 181506 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON AUG 18 2014 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 18. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 19. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 20. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.8N 132.4W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 18 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.3N 134.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 330 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.3N 136.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 11N TO 14N W OF 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 135.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 16.7N 117.7W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 18 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 17.1N 118.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 330 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 17.7N 119.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 300 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 420 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 18.9N 120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE...330 NM SE...AND 360 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 420 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 20.4N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E NEAR 22.8N 122.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL TWELVE-E NEAR 25.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N TO 30.5N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10.5N89W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 89W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N E OF 91W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC MON AUG 18... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG BETWEEN 90 AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 300 NM W QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N94W TO 16N110W THEN RESUMES FROM 14N135W TO 13N140W. NO ITCZ AXIS E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 300 NM S OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 97W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 99W...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 98W...FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W...FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W ...FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 115W AND 118W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.