000
FZPN03 KNHC 171505
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SUN AUG 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 19.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.0N 128.2W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
17 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 280 NM OF CENTER N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.9N 131.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER NE 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.2N 133.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER NW AND 45 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.2N 133.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.4N 134.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.6N 133.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.FROM 13N TO 17N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 16N115W 1007 MB. WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER NE 
QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N117W 1007 MB FROM 12N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 119W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 109W AND 120W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N118W 1005 MB WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE FROM 17N112W TO 10N125W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 18N119W 1005 MB WITHIN 300 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
NW  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1415 UTC SUN AUG 17...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER W QUADRANT. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 16N115W 1007 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 11N112W TO 18N117W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE STRONG FROM 20N TO 25N E OF 110W TO OVER 
MEXICO.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 
96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 09N85W TO 08N91W TO 11N102W TO LOW 
PRES 16N115W 1007 MB TO 14N121W THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N128W TO 
13N132W TO 15N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 
07N E OF 81W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 93W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 
110W...AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 108W AND 
115W. 
  
$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.