000
FZPN03 KNHC 170951
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SUN AUG 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 19.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.9N 127.0W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
17 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.1N 130.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.1N 132.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...75 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.1N 133.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.1N 133.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.1N 133.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.FROM 13N TO 16N W OF 139W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITH SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN AUG 17...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM W OF CENTER.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 
93W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N99W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N114W 
1009 MB TO 17N119W CONTINUES FROM 15N127W TO 12N131W TO 14N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 117W.
  
$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.