000
FZPN03 KNHC 170246
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SUN AUG 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 19.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.8N 126.1W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
17 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.1N 129.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMCIRCLE AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 132.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WITH WINDS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 132.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 133.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 133.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.FROM 14N TO 16N W OF 138W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. FROM 11N TO 14N W OF 138W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC SUN AUG 17...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM SW OF 
CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N TO 18N ALONG 103W/104W...SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE 
BETWEEN 07N AND 09N.  

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 
120W AND 125W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N84W TO 10N106W TO LOW PRES NEAR 17N114W 
1008 MB TO 17N118W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 12N127W TO 14N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS E OF 90W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 90W AND 115W.  

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.