000
FZPN03 KNHC 162130
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.9N 125.0W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
16 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 128.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 131.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.0N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.5N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 15.5N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES W OF AREA NEAR 14N141W 1007 MB STATIONARY. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W FROM 14N TO 17N W OF 139W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 138W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 14N141W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W FROM 
15N TO 17N W OF 138W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N TO 17N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 14N142W 1008 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC SAT AUG 16...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM W OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N TO 18N ALONG 103W/104W...SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE 
BETWEEN 07N AND 09N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG N OF 
12N TO OVER MEXICO BETWEEN 98W AND 105W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 
118W AND 123W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N141W 1007 MB...OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N TO 16N W OF 138W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 10N105W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N113W 
1010 MB TO 18N117W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 14N125W TO12N132W TO 
14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS E OF 90W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 115W.  

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.