000
FZPN03 KNHC 160940
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.1N 122.9W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
16 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE AND 50 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE...50 NM SE...60 NM SW AND 110 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.2N 126.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.6N 130.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 132.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 133.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 16.5N 134.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W 1007 MB STATIONARY. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 14N141W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 17N 
W OF 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 15N142W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 
139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT AUG 16...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM SW OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 13N ALONG 99W/100W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 13N AND 18N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N104W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
17N113W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 16N124W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 95W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 130W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.