000
FZPN03 KNHC 160239
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SAT AUG 16 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.8N 122.0W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
16 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.2N 125.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.8N 129.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.2N 132.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 134.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 134.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W 1007 MB STATIONARY. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 14N141W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 17N 
W OF 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 15N142W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 
139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 122W AND 124W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0315 UTC SAT AUG 16...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 
NM SW OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 12N ALONG 98W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 12N AND 
14N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH 06N78W TO 10N105W TO 16N114W...THEN CONTINUES 
FROM 14N125W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.