000
FZPN03 KNHC 152154
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC FRI AUG 15 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.6N 121.2W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
15 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.3N 125.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
270 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.1N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 131.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 134.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 135.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N140W 1009 MB STATIONARY. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 14N142W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 16N 
W OF 139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA NEAR 15N141W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 122W AND 124W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC FRI AUG 15...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM SW OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH 06N78W TO 10N100W TO 15N107W...THEN CONTINUING 
FROM 14N123W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
240 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
240 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 105W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.