000 FZPN03 KNHC 151459 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC FRI AUG 15 2014 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 17. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.4N 120.2W 995 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 15 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.1N 124.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.4N 128.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 124W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.7N 131.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 134.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.5N 135.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W 1009 MB STATIONARY. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 16N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N140W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 16N W OF 139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N141W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 17N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 122W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1415 UTC FRI AUG 15... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W. .TROPICAL WAVE N OF 12N ALONG 96W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. .SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 93W...AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 06N77W TO 09N85W TO 07N94W TO 10N102W TO 15N107W THEN RESUMES 13N123W TO 12N127W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W 1009 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 85W...WITHIN 75 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 97W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 102W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO MONSOON TROUGH E OF 85W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 280 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 100W AND 112W...WITHIN 240W NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 128W AND 134W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 130W AND 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 94W...FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W. $$ .FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.