000
FZPN03 KNHC 150243
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC FRI AUG 15 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.1N 118.3W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 15
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 135 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.9N 122.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.4N 126.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.0N 130.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.5N 133.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N140W 1009 MB STATIONARY. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
NE...SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N140W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N QUADRANT 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N144W 1005 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC FRI AUG 15...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN WITHIN 75 NM IN THE W QUADRANT OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 10N ALONG 92W...SCATTERED MODERATE SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO AND THE 
EASTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 
115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N84W TO 06N90W TO 10N102W TO 
10N105W...THEN DISCONTINUOUS TO 14N120W THEN CONTINUES TO 
13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W 
AND 105W...AND FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.