000
FZPN03 KNHC 142110
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC THU AUG 14 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.1N 117.6W 989 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 14
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.8N 121.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.2N 125.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.1N 129.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.7N 132.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.6N 134.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N140W 1009 MB STATIONARY. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
NE...SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N140W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N QUADRANT 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N144W 1005 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU AUG 14...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 18N105W TO 11N105W...SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 10N TO 14N WITHIN 120 NM OF WAVE AXIS.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 
100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N85W TO 06N90W TO 08N100W. MONSOON 
TROUGH FROM 13N120W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 95W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.