000
FZPN03 KNHC 140249
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC THU AUG 14 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.4N 114.1W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
14 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.6N 118.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.0N 122.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM OF THE CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.5N 127.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.0N 131.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.5N 134.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N139W 1008 MB. FROM 14N TO 16N W OF 137W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N139W 1008 MB. FROM 11N TO 16N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE...SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...W OF 
AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC THU AUG 14...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
ITCZ FROM 10N86W TO 13N98W TO 12N95W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N102W 
TO 16N107W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM 14N115W TO 11N130W TO 12N134W TO 
LOW PRES NEAR 12N139W 1008 MB TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
120 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH AXIS W OF 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.