000
FZPN03 KNHC 081013
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC FRI AUG 8 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 08.                             
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.8N 140.4W 962 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 08 
MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 24N 
W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO W OF AREA NEAR 18.2N 142.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. FROM 17N TO 21N W OF 137W WINDS E 
TO SE 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N 
TO 25N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO W OF AREA NEAR 19.1N 145.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 280 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES. FROM 16N TO 24N W OF 
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO W OF AREA NEAR 21.2N 150.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 280 
NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO W OF AREA NEAR 23.7N 155.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO WELL W OF AREA NEAR 25.7N 
159.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO WELL W OF AREA NEAR 
27.2N 164.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0945 UTC FRI AUG 8...

.HURRICANE JULIO...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM TO 75 NM OF THE CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 10N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W OF WAVE. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N79W TO 10N91W TO 09N100W THEN ITCZ TO 
12N106W. ITCZ RESUMES AT 12N113W TO 10N123W TO 06N132W TO 
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 92W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 07N112W TO 
08N117W...AND ALSO FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.