000
FZPN03 KNHC 080305
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC FRI AUG 8 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.4N 139.1W 966 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 08 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N 
TO 24N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 18.5N 144.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. 12 FT SEAS W OF AREA. FROM 
16N TO 24N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 20.6N 149.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. CONDITIONS 
W OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 22.9N 154.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 24.2N 159.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 25.0N 163.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC FRI AUG 8...

.HURRICANE JULIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 
19N W OF 136W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 10N92W. ITCZ FROM 12N120W TO 
06N134W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N 
TO 09N E OF 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 124W 
AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.