000
FZPN03 KNHC 072125
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC THU AUG 7 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.1N 137.7W 970 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 07 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N AND 70 
NM S SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 S SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 13N TO 24N W OF 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 18.1N 143.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES. 
FROM 17N TO 21N W OF 139W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 25N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 19.8N 148.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. CONDITIONS 
W OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 22.0N 154.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 24.0N 159.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 24.5N 163.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU AUG 7...

.HURRICANE JULIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 
19N W OF 134W.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 09N ALONG 92W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 94.5W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 10N90W. DISCONTINUOUS ITCZ FROM 
08N95W TO 12N108W RESUMES NEAR 15N116W TO 06N130W TO 07N137W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 09N E OF 96W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 101W AND 107W...AND 
FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.