000
FZPN03 KNHC 071507
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC THU AUG 07 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 16.9N 136.5W 970 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 07 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 23N 
W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.8N 141.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N 
TO 25N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 19.3N 147.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. CONDITIONS 
W OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 21.5N 153.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 23.5N 158.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 24.5N 162.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU AUG 07...

.HURRICANE JULIO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 
ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 133W AND 138W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 08N89W TO 16N89W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
09N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 07N95W. THE 
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS FROM 07N95W TO 11N107W 
THEN RESUMES NEAR 08N113W TO 07N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
05N TO 09N E OF 87W...FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W...AND 
FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.