000
FZPN03 KNHC 070255
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC THU AUG 07 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 16.4N 133.2W 985 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 07 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM W AND 120 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
11N TO 22N BETWEEN 126W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.4N 138.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND WITHIN 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 25N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 18.5N 144.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 20.3N 150.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 22.8N 155.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 25.5N 160.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 108W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03S BETWEEN 82W TO 92W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC THU AUG 07...

.HURRICANE JULIO...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. 

.SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 106W FROM 10N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM ALONG COAST 
OF MEXICO FROM 21N TO 28N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 05N91W TO 06N96W. ITCZ FROM 06N96W 
TO 11N105W THEN RESUMES NEAR 11N108W TO 09N117W THEN RESUMES 
NEAR 09N120W TO 11N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 84W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N 
TO 08N W OF 137W.  

$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.