000
FZPN03 KNHC 040944
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC MON AUG 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 16.0N 135.6W 958 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 04
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 16.1N 138.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE W OF AREA NEAR 16.9N 142.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 23N W OF 135W WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 18.5N 148.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 20.6N 155.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 22.7N 160.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 13.4N 118.4W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
04 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 13.2N 122.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 13.6N 128.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 14.4N 133.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 15.2N 139.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 16.0N 145.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S115W TO 05N100W TO 05N95W TO 
03.4N85W...EXCEPT IN LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00S E OF 90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN SW SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 09N90W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM N 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW AND E SWELL. 
FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 09N102W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND E 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC MON AUG 04...

HURRICANE ISELLE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

T.S. JULIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N92W 1011 MB TO 
10N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W 
AND 100W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.