000
FZPN03 KNHC 030936
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 15.3N 131.8W 968 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 
115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 440 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 15.6N 135.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 15.7N 138.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 16.0N 142.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 17.3N 147.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 19.0N 154.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N114.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N118.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N123W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.S OF 00S W OF 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 02S120W TO 05N104W TO 05S95W 
TO 03.4S87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 06N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 01N E OF 
90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0830 UTC SUN AUG 03...

HURRICANE ISELLE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

LOW PRES NEAR 13N114W...WITHIN 210 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 07N100W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
14N114.5W TO 10N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 105W. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.