000
FZPN03 KNHC 271519
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SUN JUL 27 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HERNAN NEAR 17.8N 111.1W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
27 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HERNAN NEAR 19.0N 112.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NE...40 NM SE...20 NM SW AND 50 NM SW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HERNAN NEAR 20.5N 115.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HERNAN NEAR 22.9N 119.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN NEAR 23.9N 123.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN NEAR 24.0N 
126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN NEAR 24.0N 
129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.  

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N131W 1007 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N134W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N138W 1007 MB. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.W OF 96W TO A LINE FROM 05N105W TO 02S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 3.4S TO 04N110W TO 04N115W TO 
00N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SUN JUL 27...

TROPICAL STORM HERNAN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE 
AND NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 120 SE SEMICIRCLE.

T.D. GENEVIEVE W OF AREA. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
11N TO 14N W OF 137W.

LOW PRES NEAR 15N131W...CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...               
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N84W TO 09N92W TO A 1011 MB 
LOW PRES NEAR 07N98W TO 08N105W THEN RESUMES SW OF HERNAN FROM 
13N114W TO A 1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10N121W TO 11N124W. ITCZ IS 
FROM 13N133W TO 12N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 150 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W...AND 
FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.