000
FZPN03 KNHC 020308
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0430 UTC WED JUL 02 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 3.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 19.4N 115.7W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC 
JUL 02 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 20.1N 116.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 11N TO 
24N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 20.8N 
116.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N 
TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 22.0N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 23.0N 
122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 23.0N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.S OF 04N E OF 123W TO A LINE FROM 04N199W TO 03.4S90W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 00N80W TO 04N80W TO 12N106W 
TO 00N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN S 
TO SW SWELL.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA NEAR 17.0N 103.4W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC 
JUL 02 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 16.4N 
103.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 16.1N 
104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 30 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 16.5N 
107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0130 UTC TUE JUL 02...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. 

.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA...ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.

.TROUGH FROM 10N134W TO 05N140W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 
NM E OF TROUGH FROM 05N TO 07N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...               
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N89W 1009 MB 
TO 09N96W TO 05N110W TO 06N115W THEN CONTINUED FROM 14N119W TO 
09N130W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N130W TO 08N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG BETWEEN 60 NM AND 120 NM W QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR 
08N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF AXIS TO 05N 
BETWEEN 81W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM 
N OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 108W. 

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.